Progress. Now that the AP is over I've had time to continue working on my Quizbowl application (and some research stuff). I've figured out that I need the program to take in a bunch of factors including the skill level of the teams, an x factor, what question in the set we are on... Anyway the program will use a series of binomial expansions to find out which team will win in under the aforementioned conditions over 1000 games.
If I just had the program calculate the odds for 1 game, the x factor would be useless. Rather, I will see which team will win the majority of 1000 games. The team that wins more games out of 1000 will be assumed to win this one game.
I need to create another binomial trial that factors in the x - factor. It will be difficult to iterate through all the possibilities based on which team the x-factor supports more. Anyway, I'll spend some time working out the math.
That's all for now.
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